Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.000988 0.001025 0.001061 0.001102 0.001145 0.001189 0.001238
2025-09-14 0.000916 0.000969 0.001024 0.001087 0.001156 0.001230 0.001316
2025-09-21 0.000858 0.000922 0.000991 0.001070 0.001161 0.001261 0.001382
2025-09-28 0.000816 0.000888 0.000968 0.001062 0.001171 0.001297 0.001453
2025-10-05 0.000766 0.000841 0.000925 0.001028 0.001149 0.001291 0.001472
2025-10-12 0.000736 0.000817 0.000907 0.001019 0.001155 0.001318 0.001531
2025-10-19 0.000716 0.000800 0.000898 0.001020 0.001171 0.001355 0.001603
2025-10-26 0.000693 0.000780 0.000881 0.001010 0.001173 0.001376 0.001655
2025-11-02 0.000677 0.000768 0.000875 0.001012 0.001188 0.001412 0.001728
2025-11-09 0.000659 0.000751 0.000861 0.001005 0.001191 0.001432 0.001781
2025-11-16 0.000640 0.000733 0.000845 0.000993 0.001187 0.001442 0.001818
2025-11-23 0.000634 0.000731 0.000849 0.001006 0.001216 0.001498 0.001924
2025-11-30 0.000623 0.000723 0.000845 0.001010 0.001233 0.001538 0.002012
2025-12-07 0.000608 0.000708 0.000832 0.001001 0.001233 0.001554 0.002063
2025-12-14 0.000592 0.000692 0.000817 0.000988 0.001226 0.001560 0.002100
2025-12-21 0.000579 0.000680 0.000806 0.000982 0.001228 0.001578 0.002156
2025-12-28 0.000558 0.000656 0.000780 0.000952 0.001195 0.001545 0.002126
2026-01-04 0.000546 0.000645 0.000770 0.000945 0.001194 0.001558 0.002174
2026-01-11 0.000539 0.000638 0.000765 0.000945 0.001205 0.001588 0.002252
2026-01-18 0.000528 0.000628 0.000755 0.000937 0.001202 0.001598 0.002296
2026-01-25 0.000522 0.000622 0.000752 0.000939 0.001213 0.001630 0.002381
2026-02-01 0.000512 0.000613 0.000744 0.000932 0.001212 0.001642 0.002431
2026-02-08 0.000502 0.000602 0.000732 0.000921 0.001204 0.001643 0.002460